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COMMENT: I simply needed to say thanks. I stored a replica of your personal publish What Are the Markets Telling Us? from FEBRUARY 24, 2024. Your mannequin referred to as for a excessive in January, the false transfer to retest help in February, and a resumption of the pattern into April. You’ve gotten taught me a lot about how markets transfer. Solely a idiot buys and holds, anticipating each month to be increased.
Sustain the nice studies. That is when many say we’d like you essentially the most.
Jeb
That Submit 2/24/24 Was:
The UK has a barely totally different sample from continental Europe. Germany exhibits a Panic Cycle in June. However the targets are shaping up as Might and July. Mixing in gold, January was excessive, and Feb has retested help, but softly. Volatility ought to rise now going into March, and April 19/twentieth is the ECM turning level of the Ukraine/Russia Battle, adopted by the principle ECM goal of Might seventh. Right here, too, we see rising volatility in gold from Might into August, with a Panic Cycle in September and the height in volatility in November in all probability associated to the 2024 election.
ANSWER: Thanks. All the things strikes in a cycle. Most of the nice discoveries come solely from observing how markets commerce. John Legislation traded on the trade in Amsterdam and got here up with the speculation of Provide and demand.
Sir Thomas Gresham additionally traded on the ground in Amsterdam, representing the English Crown. He noticed how Henry VIII’s debasement of cash brought about individuals to hoard the older cash, which truly shrank the cash provide, forcing the state to debase much more. He got here up with the concept that unhealthy cash drives good cash out of circulation.
I invented capital movement evaluation as a result of, within the ’80s, I, too, noticed how capital was speeding around the globe, driving markets up and down. If you don’t open your eyes, you’ll stay nothing greater than the idiot on the hill.
Solely a idiot refuses to be taught concerning the markets. When you can not grasp this fundamental elementary precept, overlook funding; you might be only a idiot who will lose every little thing. There are at all times false strikes. That’s how the market is propelled by transferring in the wrong way, creating bull and bear traps. Each rally in gold for 19 years was touted as this time might be totally different. Once they failed, they blamed the bankers. NOBODY however NOBODY can manipulate any market, altering its pattern. They will push the market round throughout the scope of help and resistance. However they can’t change the pattern it doesn’t matter what.
![WP IMF Dinner WP IMF Dinner](https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/WP-IMF-Dinner.png)
No market could be manipulated in opposition to its inherent pattern. That’s whole BS. The bulk is ALWAYS unsuitable, and that’s what creates the crash. They’re all lengthy, attempt to get out, and there’s no bid. Take a look at the Slinky transferring down the steps. The other facet good points the vast majority of energy after which pulls the opposite facet down, and so forth. That is how the markets transfer. It’s at all times a battle between bulls and bears, which is why the markets can by no means go in a single route. The identical is true about every little thing, together with local weather change. The local weather has at all times modified the identical as markets have at all times risen and fallen, solely to rise once more. Marxism didn’t perceive this elementary, and it, like some gold bugs, tried to make the financial system rise and by no means fall again into recession.
The French physicist Jean Foucault found what is named the Foucault Pendulum. He proved that the earth rotated on its axis. The pendulum was always transferring backwards and forwards like markets by its personal inertia. In the middle of 24 hours, the ground moved in a circle. Since you might be standing subsequent to this pendulum on the Houston Museum of Pure Science, the phantasm is that it strikes in a circle once you and the ground are fastened on Earth.
NOT EVERYTHING IS WHAT IT SEEMS – ONLY A FOOL REFUSES TO SEE
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